In #Iran, the restlessness of the people is growing. Protests from various labor unions are being held on a daily basis throughout the country. For many protesters, the reality is that they are working but not being paid by the various businesses and organizations throughout Iran, many of which have ties to the regime’s mullahs. Even public servants have not been paid in months, leading to economic hardship.
Meanwhile, the Iranian budget was released to the public and it included cuts to subsidies for the poorest Iranians and increases to religious organizations and the military. For many Iranians, this imbalance is impacting their ability to care for their families. Young people, who have the highest level of unemployment in the country, find themselves educated but unable to find work.
Uprising within Iran
On April 27, Ayatollah Javadi Amoli, during a discussion with the Minister of Labor in Qom, described those in charge of Iran’s economy as incompetent. “If there will be an uprising, all of us will be thrown into the sea,” said Amoli. He also noted that many officials had already made plans for places to escape the potential uprising within Iran. Other cabinet members have expressed pessimism or disappointment in the domestic unrest, seeing it as a signal of potential problems for the regime.
For the regime, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) has been used to appease the Iranian people, arguing that it will have economic benefits, as countries invest in Iran with the lifting of sanctions. The Iranian people are supportive of the ideas of economic relief but have not seen the uplift that they were promised. Now that U.S. President Trump is considered leaving the JCPOA, the Iranian regime is going to struggle to hold back the unrest of the Iranian people even more.
It is telling that Iranian President Rouhani has continued to point out the potential problems for the U.S. if it pulls out of the deal. At the same time, he continues to point out the need to work with the international community, possibly as a nod to Europe’s efforts to keep the deal in place. However, the JCPOA does not address the human rights violations within Iran and the continued spread of Iranian influence throughout the region, both things that are concerning to the international community.
JCPOA and U.S. was pulling out of the deal
#Trump has set a deadline of May 12 for the JCPOA to be fixed or the U.S. was pulling out. Trump said he would announce his decision on Tuesday. The U.S. President has faced an intensive lobbying effort, particularly by allies in Europe, to remain in the JCPOA. Those leaders are willing to negotiate a side agreement with Iran that would dovetail with the JCPOA, but the existing framework would have to remain intact for those negotiations to move forward.
This rolling unrest surged in the beginning of the year with protests that shook the regime, causing them to use harsh methods to against the protesters, including torture and imprisonment. Following that uprising, Maryam Rajavi, President-elect of the National Council of Resistance of Iran (#NCRI), noted that the protests would continue, and the movement to overthrow the clerical regime would not stop.
“The Iranian people, who have taken part in hundreds of protests and uprisings since December, seek the overthrow of the clerical regime in its entirety. They are calling on the international community, in particular, the West, to support their uprising for the overthrow of the Iranian regime. We emphatically urge the world community not to remain silent…We call on them, by adopting punitive measures, to compel the mullahs to release those arrested in the recent uprisings and protests,” said Rajavi.
The regime fears the power of the Iranian resistance, so they are active in trying to limit the reach of the resistance. However, the European governments are not falling in line to limit the activities of the NCRI, which is a coalition of Iranian resistance groups.
The Iranian people do not want troops or money from the West, but a firm policy that holds the ayatollahs accountable and sides with the Iranian people in creating their democracy.
In light of the growing movement to free Iran from the regime, the NCRI and its allies will be holding a gathering at the end of June in Paris to discuss the regime’s future in light of the domestic and international realities they are facing.